Gods Must Be Strong – FIRE, Resilience and COVID-19

The current situation with the COVID-19 pandemic has affected different people in different ways, but almost everyone has taken a hit in one form or another.  In some cases that’s been to their income or their net worth or mentally or to their health, or any combination of the above plus a bunch of others.

And at the risk of being the millionth blogger to quote Mike Tyson on this, “everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth”.    There isn’t much we could have done to prevent this particular punch in the mouth.  But there are things that we can and could have done to build up our resilience and reduce the impact so that we can bounce back from this and future crisis situations.

Resilience is the capacity to recover quickly from difficulties, or even better not have them affect you much if at all in the first place.  So how does pursuing FIRE help with being resilient?

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I will know all that I possess – Thoughts on COVID-19 and FIRE

Unlike my usual posts which deal with a specific topic (in theory at least!) this is a collection of my random thoughts on the current Coronavirus situation and what to do about it as well as how it will impact on FIRE and people’s finances in general. 

Obviously all of this depends on how long this situation goes on for.  It if turns around in a month or two, well some of what I write will turn out to be irrelevant and I may look silly.  Given I’ve already written a couple of posts about things that didn’t end up happening (the proposed removal of cash refunds on excess franking credits) this won’t be my first time and I won’t lose any sleep over it.

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If they came to hear me beg – More heretical thoughts on cutting costs

Much of the focus of FIRE devotees, and certainly the media coverage of FIRE, seems to be on cutting expenses to the absolute minimum possible and racing to hit FIRE as soon as possible.  It’s all about living on beans and rice, dumpster diving, getting your furniture from someone else throwing out their old stuff, living in a sharehouse or at home forever and the like. Myself, I don’t think that this is the best way to go about pursuing financial independence.

Money, Savings, Finance, Costs, Budget

It’s not that cutting costs to the bare minimum won’t likely help you get to FIRE earlier because of course it will.  It’s that cutting costs to the bare minimum might make you feel that there are too many sacrifices being made and it’s all too hard so you’re going to give up entirely.

Because I am a huge fan of facts over feelings I wanted to see what the actual math on this looked like, and just how much of a difference it would make to have slightly lower amounts of saving/higher spending.

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I Need A Weapon – The great A200/IOZ/VAS debate

If you spend more than 10 seconds on the subreddit for FIRE in Australia you will see some sort of discussion on the merits of investing in A200 or IOZ or VAS, focussing in particular on the fees.  The current MERs for these are 0.07%, 0.09% and 0.10% which doesn’t sound like a huge difference. 

As regular readers of this blog would know, I’m a numbers kinda guy so I wanted to do the math to see what difference this would make over the long term. 

Read on to see the results!

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You Flew Pretty Good – 2019 in review

Happy new year everyone!  Seeing as we’ve come to end of another year I thought I would do what every other blogger is doing and talk about how the last 365 days went!

With apologies to Sonia Dada there were good times and bad times and something in between, but at the end of it our finances were the best that they’ve ever been, so all up I’d say that it was a pretty good year.

Read on for the details!

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Wake up Buttercup – Getting the big ticket items right

One of the narratives about FIRE that seems to constantly get pushed by naysayers (and even some advocates!) is that it requires huge sacrifices.  No luxuries, no nice stuff, a pretty bare bones existence with no room for fun.  So no coffees on the way to work, never eating out for lunch or dinner, no new clothes and shoes, say sayonara to holidays and all the rest of it.

To which I say rubbish.  Obviously it’s going to depend on your level of income, and certainly if you give up all those things it may make your FIRE journey a little quicker, but then again it may prove too extreme and you give up on it all.  The key with these sort of small but regular expenditures is to keep them under control rather than eliminating them entirely. 

The more important thing though is to get your spending on big ticket items right.  So what are they, and why are they more important?

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Your heresy shall stay your feet – why you shouldn’t just invest in equities

Image result for heresy detected

The most popular approach to reaching FIRE here in Australia seems to be investing solely in equities, either Australian only or with some international shares as well. 

It’s a strategy expounded by some of the more prominent bloggers and any questions on Reddit or the like about how to invest to reach FIRE usually get a bunch of responses talking about various equities only portfolios.

Given the great returns that shares have had historically and especially over the last 10 years or so, it’s easy to see why this is a popular strategy.  Which is why I wanted to write about how it’s probably not actually going to be the best idea for most people. 

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Dust and Echoes – Bonds 3 years ago and now

Photo by bruce mars from Pexels

They say history doesn’t repeat, but it sure does rhyme.  Or to put it another way, you rarely see the exact same scenario repeat itself but there certainly are some which are very similar.

To some extent I feel like that with bonds at the moment.  I wrote an explainer about them quite recently given that they don’t get much love in the Aussie FIRE community, but the below post is actually something that I wrote for work about bonds and market conditions a bit over 3 years ag.

It definitely feels as if I could have written it today though and it would have turned out pretty close to the same.  I’ve updated a couple of charts and prices, but otherwise this is what I wrote 3 years ago.  The point of the post is not so much what I think about market conditions because I’m wrong about these things all the time, but moreso not just assuming that bonds are safe.

Quick disclaimer:  As is always the case you should not plan your finances around what some random person on the internet says. Everything which is written here is of a general nature at most and is certainly not specific professional advice for you and you should not be relying on it when making decisions. Whilst every endeavour is made to provide accurate information at the time of writing you should be talking to a licensed professional about any specific areas of your investments, finances, taxes etc.  Also, it’s going to be really embarrassing if it all goes per shaped and you have to explain that it did so because you read about something from a random blogger. 

Moving on, and without further ado, here’s my thoughts on bonds from 3 years ago, and also today.

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License to Kill – Bond(s) explained

Ok, the title is an obvious dad joke, but as it happens it still fits in with my naming convention for posts so happy days!  On to more serious stuff.

The most common proposed asset allocation for people pursuing FIRE seems to involve having absolutely as much invested in equities (or to a lesser extent property) as possible, and reducing every other asset class to as little as possible.  Which is certainly one way of doing things, and given the great performance of shares and property over the last 20 years or more there is an argument to be made for doing things this way.

It’s certainly not the only way of doing things though, and I will be trying to show why there is a case to be made for investing some money in other asset classes, in particular Fixed Income aka Bonds.  

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I am your shield, I am your sword – Everything you wanted to know about emergency funds

One of the first things that new members of the FIRE community get told is that they should have an emergency fund, also known as a rainy day fund.  Usually a figure of 3-6 months of living expenses gets used as a rough guide as to how much you should have saved. 

Unfortunately there are plenty of people who either can’t or don’t do this, as shown by the fact that over a quarter of the population either wouldn’t be able to raise $3,000 for an emergency or would have to do something drastic to raise the money as per this ME Bank Report.

So what is an emergency fund, what should it cover, how much should you have in it etc?  Read on for all the answers to your burning (dad joke intended) questions. 

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